Quote us
Free to quote in print, broadcast, live blogs and social posts, with a link to the page the figure is on and the time it is as of. Suggested credit: InterestRateDecision.com, https://interestratedecision.com. The odds are the site’s own, “odds from the record”, never market odds. Contact: dylan@forexiapro.com. See who edits the site and the corrections log.
The facts as they stand
- The next central bank decision is the Reserve Bank of Australia's, on Dec 8, 2026 at 2:30 PM Sydney (3:30 AM UTC). More
- The Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate target is 4.85%, last changed on Nov 3, 2026 (a hike of 25 bp). Its next decision is on Dec 8, 2026 at 3:30 AM UTC; the odds from the record: hike 66%. More
- The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate is 2.75%, last changed on Sep 2, 2026 (a hike of 25 bp). Its next decision is on Dec 9, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC; the odds from the record: hold 82%. More
- The Bank of Canada's overnight rate target is 2.50%, last changed on Oct 28, 2026 (a hike of 25 bp). Its next decision is on Dec 9, 2026 at 2:45 PM UTC; the odds from the record: hike 61%. More
- The Federal Reserve's federal funds rate is 3.75%–4.00%, last changed on Sep 16, 2026 (a hike of 25 bp). Its next decision is on Dec 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC; the odds from the record: hold 62%. More
- The Swiss National Bank's SNB policy rate is 0.00%, last changed on Jun 19, 2025 (a cut of 25 bp). Its next decision is on Dec 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM UTC; the odds from the record: hold 93%. More
- The Sveriges Riksbank's policy rate is 2.00%, last changed on Nov 4, 2026 (a hike of 25 bp). Its next decision is on Dec 16, 2026 at 8:30 AM UTC; the odds from the record: hike 62%. More
- Norges Bank's policy rate is 4.50%, last changed on Sep 24, 2026 (a hike of 25 bp). Its next decision is on Dec 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM UTC; the odds from the record: hold 61%. More
- The Bank of England's Bank Rate is 4.00%, last changed on Nov 5, 2026 (a hike of 25 bp). Its next decision is on Dec 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC; the odds from the record: hike 72%. More
- The European Central Bank's deposit facility rate is 2.50%, last changed on Sep 10, 2026 (a hike of 25 bp). Its next decision is on Dec 17, 2026 at 1:15 PM UTC; the odds from the record: hold 75%. More
- The Bank of Japan's short-term policy interest rate is 1.25%, last changed on Sep 18, 2026 (a hike of 25 bp). Its next decision is on Dec 18, 2026 at 3:00 AM UTC; the odds from the record: hold 75%. More
Fact sheets for the next decisions
Each is plain text you can copy. The page of each decision has the same facts with charts: RBA Tue, Dec 8 · RBNZ Wed, Dec 9 · BoC Wed, Dec 9 · Fed Wed, Dec 9.
Reserve Bank of Australia, Tue, Dec 8 at 2:30 PM Sydney
Reserve Bank of Australia: interest rate decision, Dec 8, 2026 - The Reserve Bank of Australia announces its interest rate decision on Tuesday, December 8, 2026 at 2:30 PM Sydney (3:30 AM UTC). - The cash rate target is 4.85%; its last change was a hike of 25 bp on Nov 3, 2026. - The press conference follows at 3:30 PM Sydney. - In its last 8 decisions the Reserve Bank of Australia held 3 times, raised the rate 5 times and cut it 0 times. - Of the 197 RBA decisions with a published expectation since Feb 5, 2008, 171 matched it, 10 came out above it (more hawkish) and 16 below it (more dovish). - After the 15 RBA decisions measured on one-minute candles, the median first-15-minute move in AUD/USD was 20 pips, and the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within the hour in 8 of them. Past reactions describe what happened, not what will. - The odds from the record for this meeting: hike 66%, hold 34%, cut <1%, so a hike is the likeliest. They are counted from past decisions by fixed rules, not from markets. Source: InterestRateDecision.com, https://interestratedecision.com/rba/december-2026/, as of Nov 12, 2026 8:19 AM UTC.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Wed, Dec 9 at 2:00 PM Wellington
Reserve Bank of New Zealand: interest rate decision, Dec 9, 2026 - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM Wellington (1:00 AM UTC). - The Official Cash Rate is 2.75%; its last change was a hike of 25 bp on Sep 2, 2026. - The press conference follows at 3:00 PM Wellington. - In its last 8 decisions the Reserve Bank of New Zealand held 4 times, raised the rate 2 times and cut it 2 times. - Of the 138 RBNZ decisions with a published expectation since Jan 24, 2008, 122 matched it, 5 came out above it (more hawkish) and 11 below it (more dovish). - After the 13 RBNZ decisions measured on one-minute candles, the median first-15-minute move in NZD/USD was 30 pips, and the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within the hour in 4 of them. Past reactions describe what happened, not what will. - The odds from the record for this meeting: hike 17%, hold 82%, cut 1%, so a hold is the likeliest. They are counted from past decisions by fixed rules, not from markets. Source: InterestRateDecision.com, https://interestratedecision.com/rbnz/december-2026/, as of Nov 12, 2026 8:19 AM UTC.
Bank of Canada, Wed, Dec 9 at 9:45 AM EST
Bank of Canada: interest rate decision, Dec 9, 2026 - The Bank of Canada announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 9:45 AM EST (2:45 PM UTC). - The overnight rate target is 2.50%; its last change was a hike of 25 bp on Oct 28, 2026. - The press conference follows at 10:30 AM EST. - In its last 8 decisions the Bank of Canada held 7 times, raised the rate 1 time and cut it 0 times. - Of the 151 BoC decisions with a published expectation since Jan 22, 2008, 139 matched it, 5 came out above it (more hawkish) and 7 below it (more dovish). - After the 15 BoC decisions measured on one-minute candles, the median first-15-minute move in USD/CAD was 12 pips, and the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within the hour in 12 of them. Past reactions describe what happened, not what will. - The odds from the record for this meeting: hike 61%, hold 39%, cut <1%, so a hike is the likeliest. They are counted from past decisions by fixed rules, not from markets. Source: InterestRateDecision.com, https://interestratedecision.com/boc/december-2026/, as of Nov 12, 2026 8:19 AM UTC.
Federal Reserve, Wed, Dec 9 at 2:00 PM EST
Federal Reserve: interest rate decision, Dec 9, 2026 - The Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST (7:00 PM UTC). - The federal funds rate is 3.75%–4.00%; its last change was a hike of 25 bp on Sep 16, 2026. - The press conference follows at 2:30 PM EST, and the meeting comes with new projections. - In its last 8 decisions the Federal Reserve held 6 times, raised the rate 1 time and cut it 1 time. - Of the 145 Fed decisions with a published expectation since Jan 30, 2008, 140 matched it, 1 came out above it (more hawkish) and 4 below it (more dovish). - After the 15 Fed decisions measured on one-minute candles, the median first-15-minute move in EUR/USD was 25 pips, and the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within the hour in 11 of them. Past reactions describe what happened, not what will. - The odds from the record for this meeting: hike 37%, hold 62%, cut 1%, so a hold is the likeliest. They are counted from past decisions by fixed rules, not from markets. Source: InterestRateDecision.com, https://interestratedecision.com/fed/december-2026/, as of Nov 12, 2026 8:19 AM UTC.
Files and tools
- The calendar and the calendar file; the 2027 calendar as a PDF and a file.
- The data: every decision since 2008 as CSV and JSON, free to reuse with a link.
- The API and the MCP server: rates, next decisions, history and the odds, free and keyless.
- Widgets to put the next decision or a countdown on your own page.
- The US data that comes before the decisions: CPI, jobs, PCE, retail sales and GDP, each with how the dollar moved after every report.
Questions
May I quote the figures?
Yes, free, in an article, a broadcast, a live blog or a social post, with a link to the page the figure is on. Say when the figures are as of: every fact sheet and page states it.
Are the odds market odds?
No. They are this site’s own odds, counted from the record of past decisions by fixed rules. Please call them “odds from the record”, not market odds or a forecast. Each page shows how they are made and how they have scored.
Do you publish economists’ forecasts?
No. The calendar’s consensus is licensed to that calendar, so these fact sheets leave it out. They give the time, the rate, the history, how often the bank has surprised and how price has reacted.
How current is a fact sheet?
It is rebuilt every two hours from the data, and within minutes of a result on decision days. The “as of” time on each is the build’s.
Who do I ask?
Write to dylan@forexiapro.com. The editor is named on the about page, and errors of fact are listed on the corrections page.