US PCE inflation: latest core PCE and release dates

The latest US PCE report, for September 2026, showed the PCE price index up 3.6% on the year and core PCE, the Fed’s preferred measure, up 3.1%.

Wednesday, November 25, 2026 at 8:30 AM EST, for October 2026. After it: Dec 18, 2026, Jan 29, 2027, Feb 26, 2027. Dates are the calendar’s; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes its own schedule.

Both measure consumer price inflation. PCE covers a broader range of spending and is weighted by what people actually buy; the Fed’s inflation target is set in PCE terms. CPI comes out first, a few days before.

It leaves out food and energy, which swing from month to month, so it shows the underlying trend the Fed is trying to steer.

Across the 45 reports measured since Jan 27, 2023, the median move in EUR/USD in the first 15 minutes was 7.2 pips and the pair’s range in those 15 minutes was 19.8 pips. In 12 of the 45 the direction at 15 minutes was not the direction at 60. Past reactions describe what happened, not what will.

Not reliably. Of the 18 reports where the headline figure was higher than the one before, EUR/USD was lower (the dollar higher) 15 minutes after in 8; of the 19 where it was lower, in 7. That compares with the previous report, not with what economists expected, which is what markets trade, and this site does not publish those forecasts.

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, as first published, with FXStreet economic calendar for the release times and Dukascopy bid candles for the prices, read automatically and never typed by hand. Reports are later revised; check the agency’s own site.