RBA Interest Rate Decision, December 2026
The Monetary Policy Board announces on Tuesday, December 8, 2026 at 2:30 PM Sydney. There is no consensus figure yet.
When is the RBA decision?
- Sydney
- Tue, Dec 8 · 2:30 PM Sydney
- New York
- Mon, Dec 7 · 10:30 PM EST
- London
- Tue, Dec 8 · 3:30 AM London
- Tokyo
- Tue, Dec 8 · 12:30 PM Tokyo
- UTC
- Tue, Dec 8 · 3:30 AM UTC
- Your time
- 3:30 AM UTC
What is expected
- Consensus
- Not yet
- Previous
- —
- Reading
- No consensus yet
An expected move is already in the price: only the difference between the decision and the expectation tends to move it.
What will the RBA do?
The split shows once you vote. Voting closes at the announcement, in 40d 5h.
AUD/USD levels to watch before the RBA decision
Drawn from real 15-minute candles: the nearest standing high and low, where stops rest. A: the spike runs the high, closes back, and the low is next. B: the mirror. Where to look, not a promise: some days one plays and some days neither does. Vote on which one plays: it is settled on the 15-minute candles of the 24 hours after the announcement.
Which play happens on AUD/USD?
The split shows once you vote. Voting closes at the announcement, in 40d 5h.
Last price 0.70535. Levels are as of the candle that closed Oct 28, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC UTC; they are not updated until the site is rebuilt, and the vote is settled on the map as it stands at the announcement. This is where to look, not advice.
How the last RBA decisions moved AUD/USD
Across 14 measured RBA decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 8 (57%), and in 7 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 6 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 20 pips.
| Date | Decision | First side | Closed back | After 60 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | ▲ hike 4.60% | ▲ 13 pips | 10 min | +10 pips |
| Aug 11, 2026 | ■ hold 4.35% | ▼ 18 pips | No | −18 pips |
| Jun 16, 2026 | ■ hold 4.35% | ▼ 0.4 pips | 5 min | −0.7 pips |
| May 5, 2026 | ▲ hike 4.35% | ▲ 11 pips | 30 min | −14 pips |
| Mar 17, 2026 | ▲ hike 4.10% | ▼ 26 pips | No | −22 pips |
| Feb 3, 2026 | ▲ hike 3.85% | ▲ 66 pips | No | +56 pips |
Up and down are the pair AUD/USD. A hawkish surprise (a bigger hike, a smaller cut, a hold when a cut was expected) tends to push AUD/USD up, because AUD is its first currency; a dovish one pushes it down.
RBA December 2026 decision: questions
What time is the RBA interest rate decision on Dec 8, 2026?
2:30 PM Sydney Sydney time on Tuesday, December 8, 2026, which is 10:30 PM EST in New York and 3:30 AM London in London. The press conference follows at 3:30 PM Sydney.
What is expected from the RBA in December 2026?
There is no consensus figure yet. The rate now is —.
How does the RBA decision move AUD/USD, and what should I watch?
Across 14 measured RBA decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 8 (57%), and in 7 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 6 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 20 pips. The decision against what was expected. Past reactions describe what happened, not what will.
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