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Q3 2023 GDP report: second estimate

The second estimate of US gross domestic product for Q3 2023 showed the economy growing at an annual rate of 5.2%, against 2.1% in the latest Q2 2023 estimate. The GDP price index rose 3.5% at an annual rate.

GDP growth5.2%annualized · second estimate
Quarter before2.1%Q2 2023, third estimate
GDP price index3.5%annualized
EUR/USD, 15 min—not measured yet

The Q3 2023 figures

Released Wednesday, November 29, 2023 at 8:30 AM EST. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, as first published.

MeasureQ3 2023 (second)Q2 2023 (third)
GDP growth, annualized 5.2% 2.1%
GDP price index, annualized 3.5% 1.7%

As first published: later reports revise these figures. This compares with earlier reports, not with what economists expected.

The first hour after this release has not been measured yet.

What it means for the next Fed decision

The Fed decides next on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST. Data like this GDP report is part of what the committee weighs: see the Fed rate forecast for the dots against today’s rate.

The odds from the record for that meeting: hold 62%. They are counted from every Fed decision since 2008 by fixed rules, not from markets and not from this report: how they are made.

More

The next GDP release, for Q3 2026, is due on Wednesday, November 25, 2026. Also: the US CPI report, the jobs report, PCE inflation, retail sales and GDP.

← Q2 2023, third Q3 2023, third →

Questions

What was the Q3 2023 GDP report?

The second estimate of US gross domestic product for Q3 2023 showed the economy growing at an annual rate of 5.2%, against 2.1% in the latest Q2 2023 estimate. The GDP price index rose 3.5% at an annual rate.

How did the dollar react to the Q3 2023 GDP report?

The first hour after this release has not been measured yet.

Was it higher or lower than the report before?

The headline figure, gdp growth, annualized, was 5.2%, higher than 2.1% in the Q2 2023 third report. That compares with the report before, not with what economists expected, which this site does not publish.

Where do the figures come from?

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, as first published, read automatically and never typed by hand. Reports are later revised, so a later figure for the same month can differ; check the agency’s own site.

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