Riksbank Interest Rate Decision, November 2026
The Executive Board announces on Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 9:30 AM GMT+1. Economists expect a hike of 25 bp to 2.00%.
Figures as of Nov 3, 2026, 8:20 AM UTC.
When is the Riksbank decision?
- Stockholm
- Wed, Nov 4 · 9:30 AM GMT+1
- New York
- Wed, Nov 4 · 3:30 AM EST
- London
- Wed, Nov 4 · 8:30 AM London
- Tokyo
- Wed, Nov 4 · 5:30 PM Tokyo
- UTC
- Wed, Nov 4 · 8:30 AM UTC
- Your time
- 8:30 AM UTC
What is expected
- Consensus
- 2.00%
- Previous
- 1.75%
- Reading
- Hike 25 bp to 2.00%
An expected move is already in the price: only the difference between the decision and the expectation tends to move it.
What will the Riksbank do?
The split shows once you vote. Voting closes at the announcement, in 1d 0h.
EUR/SEK levels to watch before the Riksbank decision
Drawn from real 15-minute candles: the nearest standing high and low, where stops rest. A: the spike runs the high, closes back, and the low is next. B: the mirror. Where to look, not a promise: some days one plays and some days neither does. Vote on which one plays: it is settled on the 15-minute candles of the 24 hours after the announcement.
Which play happens on EUR/SEK?
The split shows once you vote. Voting closes at the announcement, in 1d 0h.
Last price 10.95386. Levels are as of the candle that closed Nov 3, 2026, 8:15 AM UTC UTC; they are not updated until the site is rebuilt, and the vote is settled on the map as it stands at the announcement. This is where to look, not advice.
How the last Riksbank decisions moved EUR/SEK
Across 14 measured Riksbank decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 12 (86%), and in 5 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 2 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 177 pips.
| Date | Decision | First side | Closed back | After 60 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | ■ hold 1.75% | ▼ 299 pips | 60 min | +73 pips |
| Aug 20, 2026 | ■ hold 1.75% | ▲ 3.0 pips | 5 min | +367 pips |
| Jun 17, 2026 | ■ hold 1.75% | ▲ 58 pips | 10 min | +268 pips |
| May 7, 2026 | ■ hold 1.75% | ▼ 15 pips | 25 min | −1.0 pips |
| Mar 19, 2026 | ■ hold 1.75% | ▼ 657 pips | 20 min | +66 pips |
| Jan 29, 2026 | ■ hold 1.75% | ▲ 0.9 pips | 10 min | +178 pips |
Up and down are the pair EUR/SEK. A hawkish surprise (a bigger hike, a smaller cut, a hold when a cut was expected) tends to push EUR/SEK down, because SEK is its second currency; a dovish one pushes it up.
Riksbank November 2026 decision: questions
What time is the Riksbank interest rate decision on Nov 4, 2026?
9:30 AM GMT+1 Stockholm time on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, which is 3:30 AM EST in New York and 8:30 AM London in London. The press conference follows at 11:00 AM GMT+1.
What is expected from the Riksbank in November 2026?
Economists expect: hike 25 bp to 2.00%. The rate now is 1.75%.
How does the Riksbank decision move EUR/SEK, and what should I watch?
Across 14 measured Riksbank decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 12 (86%), and in 5 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 2 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 177 pips. The decision against what was expected. Past reactions describe what happened, not what will.
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