Interest Rate Decision Riksbank in 1d 0h
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Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision, November 2026

The Monetary Policy and Financial Stability Committee announces on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM GMT+1. Economists expect a hold at 4.50%.

WhenThu, Nov 5 · 10:00 AM GMT+1in 2d 0h
Rate now4.50%policy rate
ExpectedHold at 4.50%economists’ consensus
Press conferenceNone listedno projections this time
Rate oddsNov 5, 2026 · consensus out Every meeting →

Figures as of Nov 3, 2026, 8:20 AM UTC.

The time

When is Norges Bank decision?

Oslo
Thu, Nov 5 · 10:00 AM GMT+1
New York
Thu, Nov 5 · 4:00 AM EST
London
Thu, Nov 5 · 9:00 AM London
Tokyo
Thu, Nov 5 · 6:00 PM Tokyo
UTC
Thu, Nov 5 · 9:00 AM UTC
Your time
9:00 AM UTC
The expectation

What is expected

Consensus
4.50%
Previous
4.50%
Reading
Hold at 4.50%

An expected move is already in the price: only the difference between the decision and the expectation tends to move it.

Your callThe vote · closed

What will Norges Bank do?

The split shows once you vote. Voting closes at the announcement, in 2d 0h.

The projection

EUR/NOK levels to watch before Norges Bank decision

Drawn from real 15-minute candles: the nearest standing high and low, where stops rest. A: the spike runs the high, closes back, and the low is next. B: the mirror. Where to look, not a promise: some days one plays and some days neither does. Vote on which one plays: it is settled on the 15-minute candles of the 24 hours after the announcement.

EUR/NOK 15-minute chart before Norges Bank decision, with the levels nearest the price Levels above: Tue, Nov 3 high. Below: Tue, Nov 3 low. Play A runs the level above and closes back; play B is the mirror. 10.25 10.30 10.35 10.40 30 Fri 31 Sat 1 Sun 2 Mon 3 Tue 10.42063 10.36143 Tue, Nov 3 highTue, Nov 3 low Norges Bank · Thu, Nov 5 10:00 A B
Your callThe vote · closed

Which play happens on EUR/NOK?

The split shows once you vote. Voting closes at the announcement, in 2d 0h.

Last price 10.36874. Levels are as of the candle that closed Nov 3, 2026, 8:15 AM UTC UTC; they are not updated until the site is rebuilt, and the vote is settled on the map as it stands at the announcement. This is where to look, not advice.

What price did before

How the last Norges Bank decisions moved EUR/NOK

Across 14 measured Norges Bank decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 8 (57%), and in 3 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 6 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 280 pips.

EUR/NOK · one-minute candles · Oslo time Previous decision, Sep 24, 2026: raised 25 bp to 4.50%, as expected
EUR/NOK one-minute chart around Norges Bank decision of Sep 24, 2026 The hour before the 10:00 announcement ranged 145 pips. The first spike went below it by 619 pips, and a five-minute candle closed back inside after 35 minutes. 10.72 10.74 10.76 10.78 10.80 09:00 09:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 THE HOUR BEFORE Norges Bank 10:00 Spike 10.72222 · 619 pips past the hour's low Closed back inside · 35 min
DateDecisionFirst sideClosed backAfter 60 min
Sep 24, 2026 ▲ hike 4.50% ▼ 619 pips 35 min −298 pips
Aug 13, 2026 ■ hold 4.25% ▼ 141 pips 5 min +498 pips
Jun 18, 2026 ■ hold 4.25% ▲ 114 pips 10 min +351 pips
May 7, 2026 ▲ hike 4.25% ▼ 378 pips No −245 pips
Mar 26, 2026 ■ hold 4.00% ▼ 127 pips 5 min +9.6 pips
Jan 22, 2026 ■ hold 4.00% None — −73 pips

Up and down are the pair EUR/NOK. A hawkish surprise (a bigger hike, a smaller cut, a hold when a cut was expected) tends to push EUR/NOK down, because NOK is its second currency; a dovish one pushes it up.

Questions

Norges Bank November 2026 decision: questions

What time is Norges Bank interest rate decision on Nov 5, 2026?

10:00 AM GMT+1 Oslo time on Thursday, November 5, 2026, which is 4:00 AM EST in New York and 9:00 AM London in London.

What is expected from Norges Bank in November 2026?

Economists expect: hold at 4.50%. The rate now is 4.50%.

How does Norges Bank decision move EUR/NOK, and what should I watch?

Across 14 measured Norges Bank decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 8 (57%), and in 3 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 6 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 280 pips. The decision against what was expected. Past reactions describe what happened, not what will.

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