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RBA Interest Rate Decision, September 2026

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised the cash rate target 25 bp to 4.60% on September 29, 2026, as expected.

Decision4.60%▲ hike +25 bp
Against expectedAs expectedexpected 4.60%
Previous4.35%cash rate target
AUD/USD one hour later +10 pips from the last price before
The result

What the RBA decided in September 2026

The move +25 bp Raised 25 bp to 4.60%, from 4.35%.
Against expected No surprise Economists expected: hike 25 bp to 4.60%. The decision was as expected.
Timing 2:30 PM Sydney Tuesday, September 29, 2026; press conference at 3:30 PM Sydney.
What price did

AUD/USD after the RBA decision, minute by minute

One-minute candles, Sydney time. The box is the hour before the announcement. How we measure.

AUD/USD one-minute chart around the Reserve Bank of Australia decision of Sep 29, 2026 The hour before the 14:30 announcement ranged 8.1 pips. The first spike went above it by 13 pips, and a five-minute candle closed back inside after 10 minutes. 0.698 0.699 0.700 0.701 0.702 0.703 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 THE HOUR BEFORE RBA 14:30 PRESS CONF. Spike 0.70287 · 13 pips past the hour's high Closed back inside · 10 min
  1. The hour beforeAUD/USD ranged 8.1 pips, from 0.70075 to 0.70156, and was at 0.70079 at the announcement.
  2. The first spike After 0 minutes price went through the hour's high and ran 13 pips past it.
  3. The close back A five-minute candle closed back inside the range after 10 minutes.
  4. The other side Price then traded through the opposite edge of the range within four hours.
  5. The moves From the last price before the announcement: +7.8 pips at 15 minutes, +10 pips at one hour, −18 pips at four hours.
For context

Across 14 measured RBA decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 8 (57%), and in 7 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 6 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 20 pips.

This decision is one of the closed-back cases. Counts include the decisions where it did not close back. All RBA dates · RBA overview.

← Previous decisionRBA, August 2026Held at 4.35% Next decision →RBA, November 2026Tue, Nov 3, 2:30 PM Sydney
Questions

RBA September 2026 decision: questions

What time was the RBA interest rate decision on Sep 29, 2026?

It was announced at 2:30 PM Sydney (12:30 AM EDT New York, 5:30 AM London London), with the press conference at 3:30 PM Sydney.

What did the RBA decide in September 2026?

Raised 25 bp to 4.60% (previous 4.35%). Economists expected: hike 25 bp to 4.60%, so the decision was as expected.

How did AUD/USD react to the RBA decision in September 2026?

On one-minute candles: the hour before ranged 8.1 pips; the first spike went above it by 13 pips; a five-minute candle closed back inside after 10 minutes; after one hour AUD/USD was +10 pips from its pre-announcement price.

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