Fed Interest Rate Decision, October 2026
The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.75%–4.00% on October 28, 2026, as expected.
What the Fed decided in October 2026
What visitors called before the Fed decision
Voting closed at the announcement. Votes are opinions, not a forecast. How votes are counted.
What will the Fed do?
Closed at the decision.
The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00%.
Which play happens on EUR/USD?
Closed at the decision.
EUR/USD after the Fed decision, minute by minute
One-minute candles, New York time. The box is the hour before the announcement. How we measure.
The candles for this decision are not in yet. The reaction is measured on one-minute candles from three hours before to five hours after the announcement, and they are added when the site's data is refreshed. The result above is final.
Across 14 measured Fed decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 10 (71%), and in 9 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 4 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 26 pips.
Fed October 2026 decision: questions
What time was the Fed interest rate decision on Oct 28, 2026?
It was announced at 2:00 PM EDT (6:00 PM London London, 3:00 AM Tokyo Tokyo), with the press conference at 2:30 PM EDT.
What did the Fed decide in October 2026?
Held at 3.75%–4.00% (previous 3.75%–4.00%). Economists expected: hold at 3.75%–4.00%, so the decision was as expected.
How did EUR/USD react to the Fed decision in October 2026?
The one-minute candles for this decision are not in yet, so the reaction has not been measured. Across 14 measured Fed decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 10 (71%), and in 9 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 4 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 26 pips.
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