InterestRateDecision ECB in 14h 57m
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ECB Interest Rate Decision, September 2026

The European Central Bank raised the deposit facility rate 25 bp to 2.50% on September 10, 2026, as expected.

Decision2.50%▲ hike +25 bp
Against expectedAs expectedexpected 2.50%
Previous2.25%deposit facility rate
EUR/USD one hour later −15 pips from the last price before
The result

What the ECB decided in September 2026

The move +25 bp Raised 25 bp to 2.50%, from 2.25%.
Against expected No surprise Economists expected: hike 25 bp to 2.50%. The decision was as expected.
Main refinancing rate 2.65% The ECB's other policy rate, set above the deposit facility rate.
Timing 2:15 PM Frankfurt Thursday, September 10, 2026; press conference at 2:45 PM Frankfurt.
What price did

EUR/USD after the ECB decision, minute by minute

One-minute candles, Frankfurt time. The box is the hour before the announcement. How we measure.

EUR/USD one-minute chart around the European Central Bank decision of Sep 10, 2026 The hour before the 14:15 announcement ranged 13 pips. The first spike went below it by 3.3 pips, and a five-minute candle closed back inside after 5 minutes. 1.159 1.160 1.161 1.162 1.163 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 THE HOUR BEFORE ECB 14:15 PRESS CONF. Spike 1.16103 · 3.3 pips past the hour's low Closed back inside · 5 min
  1. The hour beforeEUR/USD ranged 13 pips, from 1.16136 to 1.16269, and was at 1.16153 at the announcement.
  2. The first spike After 0 minutes price went through the hour's low and ran 3.3 pips past it.
  3. The close back A five-minute candle closed back inside the range after 5 minutes.
  4. The other side Price then traded through the opposite edge of the range within four hours.
  5. The moves From the last price before the announcement: +6.7 pips at 15 minutes, −15 pips at one hour, +10 pips at four hours.
For context

Across 14 measured ECB decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 10 (71%), and in 6 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 4 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 15 pips.

This decision is one of the closed-back cases. Counts include the decisions where it did not close back. All ECB dates · ECB overview.

Questions

ECB September 2026 decision: questions

What time was the ECB interest rate decision on Sep 10, 2026?

It was announced at 2:15 PM Frankfurt (8:15 AM EDT New York, 1:15 PM London London), with the press conference at 2:45 PM Frankfurt.

What did the ECB decide in September 2026?

Raised 25 bp to 2.50% (previous 2.25%). Economists expected: hike 25 bp to 2.50%, so the decision was as expected.

How did EUR/USD react to the ECB decision in September 2026?

On one-minute candles: the hour before ranged 13 pips; the first spike went below it by 3.3 pips; a five-minute candle closed back inside after 5 minutes; after one hour EUR/USD was −15 pips from its pre-announcement price.

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