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RBNZ Interest Rate Decision, February 2025

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered the Official Cash Rate 50 bp to 3.75% on February 19, 2025, as expected.

Decision3.75%▼ cut −50 bp
Against expectedAs expectedexpected 3.75%
Previous4.25%Official Cash Rate
NZD/USD one hour later −4.2 pips from the last price before
The result

What the RBNZ decided in February 2025

The move −50 bp Cut 50 bp to 3.75%, from 4.25%.
Against expected No surprise Economists expected: cut 50 bp to 3.75%. The decision was as expected.
Timing 2:00 PM Wellington Wednesday, February 19, 2025; press conference at 3:00 PM Wellington.
What price did

NZD/USD after the RBNZ decision, minute by minute

One-minute candles, Wellington time. The box is the hour before the announcement. How we measure.

NZD/USD one-minute chart around the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision of Feb 19, 2025 The hour before the 14:00 announcement ranged 11 pips. The first spike went below it by 20 pips, and did not close back inside within the hour. 0.568 0.569 0.570 0.571 0.572 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 THE HOUR BEFORE RBNZ 14:00 PRESS CONF. Spike 0.56773 · 20 pips past the hour's low
  1. The hour beforeNZD/USD ranged 11 pips, from 0.56975 to 0.57081, and was at 0.56979 at the announcement.
  2. The first spike After 0 minutes price went through the hour's low and ran 20 pips past it.
  3. The close back No five-minute candle closed back inside the range within the hour: the first move held.
  4. The other side Not measured: it needs a close back first.
  5. The moves From the last price before the announcement: −16 pips at 15 minutes, −4.2 pips at one hour, +21 pips at four hours.
For context

Across 13 measured RBNZ decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 4 (31%), and in 2 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 9 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 30 pips.

This decision is one where the first move held. Counts include the decisions where it did not close back. All RBNZ dates · RBNZ overview.

Questions

RBNZ February 2025 decision: questions

What time was the RBNZ interest rate decision on Feb 19, 2025?

It was announced at 2:00 PM Wellington (8:00 PM EST New York, 1:00 AM London London), with the press conference at 3:00 PM Wellington.

What did the RBNZ decide in February 2025?

Cut 50 bp to 3.75% (previous 4.25%). Economists expected: cut 50 bp to 3.75%, so the decision was as expected.

How did NZD/USD react to the RBNZ decision in February 2025?

On one-minute candles: the hour before ranged 11 pips; the first spike went below it by 20 pips; it did not close back inside within the hour; after one hour NZD/USD was −4.2 pips from its pre-announcement price.

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