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RBA Interest Rate Decision, February 2025

The Reserve Bank of Australia lowered the cash rate target 25 bp to 4.10% on February 18, 2025, as expected.

Decision4.10%▼ cut −25 bp
Against expectedAs expectedexpected 4.10%
Previous4.35%cash rate target
AUD/USD one hour later −2.1 pips from the last price before
The result

What the RBA decided in February 2025

The move −25 bp Cut 25 bp to 4.10%, from 4.35%.
Against expected No surprise Economists expected: cut 25 bp to 4.10%. The decision was as expected.
Timing 2:30 PM Sydney Tuesday, February 18, 2025; press conference at 3:30 PM Sydney.
What price did

AUD/USD after the RBA decision, minute by minute

One-minute candles, Sydney time. The box is the hour before the announcement. How we measure.

AUD/USD one-minute chart around the Reserve Bank of Australia decision of Feb 18, 2025 The hour before the 14:30 announcement ranged 8.6 pips. The first spike went below it by 7.7 pips, and a five-minute candle closed back inside after 5 minutes. 0.634 0.635 0.636 0.637 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 THE HOUR BEFORE RBA 14:30 PRESS CONF. Spike 0.63338 · 7.7 pips past the hour's low Closed back inside · 5 min
  1. The hour beforeAUD/USD ranged 8.6 pips, from 0.63415 to 0.63501, and was at 0.63421 at the announcement.
  2. The first spike After 0 minutes price went through the hour's low and ran 7.7 pips past it.
  3. The close back A five-minute candle closed back inside the range after 5 minutes.
  4. The other side Price then traded through the opposite edge of the range within four hours.
  5. The moves From the last price before the announcement: +7.2 pips at 15 minutes, −2.1 pips at one hour, +16 pips at four hours.
For context

Across 14 measured RBA decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 8 (57%), and in 7 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 6 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 20 pips.

This decision is one of the closed-back cases. Counts include the decisions where it did not close back. All RBA dates · RBA overview.

← Previous decisionRBA, December 2024Held at 4.35%
Next decision →RBA, April 2025Tue, Apr 1, 2:30 PM Sydney
Questions

RBA February 2025 decision: questions

What time was the RBA interest rate decision on Feb 18, 2025?

It was announced at 2:30 PM Sydney (10:30 PM EST New York, 3:30 AM London London), with the press conference at 3:30 PM Sydney.

What did the RBA decide in February 2025?

Cut 25 bp to 4.10% (previous 4.35%). Economists expected: cut 25 bp to 4.10%, so the decision was as expected.

How did AUD/USD react to the RBA decision in February 2025?

On one-minute candles: the hour before ranged 8.6 pips; the first spike went below it by 7.7 pips; a five-minute candle closed back inside after 5 minutes; after one hour AUD/USD was −2.1 pips from its pre-announcement price.

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