InterestRateDecision ECB in 12h 32m
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ECB Interest Rate Decision, February 2026

The European Central Bank held the deposit facility rate at 2.00% on February 5, 2026, as expected.

Decision2.00%■ hold
Against expectedAs expectedexpected 2.00%
Previous2.00%deposit facility rate
EUR/USD one hour later +27 pips from the last price before
The result

What the ECB decided in February 2026

The move Hold Held at 2.00%.
Against expected No surprise Economists expected: hold at 2.00%. The decision was as expected.
Main refinancing rate 2.15% The ECB's other policy rate, set above the deposit facility rate.
Timing 2:15 PM Frankfurt Thursday, February 5, 2026; press conference at 2:45 PM Frankfurt.
What price did

EUR/USD after the ECB decision, minute by minute

One-minute candles, Frankfurt time. The box is the hour before the announcement. How we measure.

EUR/USD one-minute chart around the European Central Bank decision of Feb 5, 2026 The hour before the 14:15 announcement ranged 18 pips. The first spike went above it by 17 pips, and did not close back inside within the hour. 1.179 1.180 1.181 1.182 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 THE HOUR BEFORE ECB 14:15 PRESS CONF. Spike 1.18208 · 17 pips past the hour's high
  1. The hour beforeEUR/USD ranged 18 pips, from 1.17854 to 1.18035, and was at 1.17936 at the announcement.
  2. The first spike After 15 minutes price went through the hour's high and ran 17 pips past it.
  3. The close back No five-minute candle closed back inside the range within the hour: the first move held.
  4. The other side Not measured: it needs a close back first.
  5. The moves From the last price before the announcement: +7.6 pips at 15 minutes, +27 pips at one hour, +4.7 pips at four hours.
For context

Across 14 measured ECB decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 10 (71%), and in 6 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 4 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 15 pips.

This decision is one where the first move held. Counts include the decisions where it did not close back. All ECB dates · ECB overview.

Questions

ECB February 2026 decision: questions

What time was the ECB interest rate decision on Feb 5, 2026?

It was announced at 2:15 PM Frankfurt (8:15 AM EST New York, 1:15 PM London London), with the press conference at 2:45 PM Frankfurt.

What did the ECB decide in February 2026?

Held at 2.00% (previous 2.00%). Economists expected: hold at 2.00%, so the decision was as expected.

How did EUR/USD react to the ECB decision in February 2026?

On one-minute candles: the hour before ranged 18 pips; the first spike went above it by 17 pips; it did not close back inside within the hour; after one hour EUR/USD was +27 pips from its pre-announcement price.

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