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BoJ Interest Rate Decision, July 2026

The Bank of Japan held the short-term policy interest rate at 1.00% on July 31, 2026, as expected.

Decision1.00%■ hold
Against expectedAs expectedexpected 1.00%
Previous1.00%short-term policy interest rate
USD/JPY one hour later −16 pips from the last price before
The result

What the BoJ decided in July 2026

The move Hold Held at 1.00%.
Against expected No surprise Economists expected: hold at 1.00%. The decision was as expected.
Timing 12:11 PM Tokyo Friday, July 31, 2026; press conference at 3:30 PM Tokyo.
What price did

USD/JPY after the BoJ decision, minute by minute

One-minute candles, Tokyo time. The box is the hour before the announcement. How we measure.

USD/JPY one-minute chart around the Bank of Japan decision of Jul 31, 2026 The hour before the 12:11 announcement ranged 43 pips. The first spike went above it by 1.7 pips, and a five-minute candle closed back inside after 5 minutes. 160.5 160.6 160.7 160.8 160.9 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 14:00 THE HOUR BEFORE BoJ 12:11 Spike 160.880 · 1.7 pips past the hour's high Closed back inside · 5 min
  1. The hour beforeUSD/JPY ranged 43 pips, from 160.435 to 160.863, and was at 160.811 at the announcement.
  2. The first spike After 1 minute price went through the hour's high and ran 1.7 pips past it.
  3. The close back A five-minute candle closed back inside the range after 5 minutes.
  4. The other side Price then traded through the opposite edge of the range within four hours.
  5. The moves From the last price before the announcement: −0.6 pips at 15 minutes, −16 pips at one hour, −45 pips at four hours.
For context

Across 14 measured BoJ decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 11 (79%), and in 6 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 3 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 28 pips.

This decision is one of the closed-back cases. Counts include the decisions where it did not close back. All BoJ dates · BoJ overview.

Questions

BoJ July 2026 decision: questions

What time was the BoJ interest rate decision on Jul 31, 2026?

It was announced at 12:11 PM Tokyo (11:11 PM EDT New York, 4:11 AM London London), with the press conference at 3:30 PM Tokyo.

What did the BoJ decide in July 2026?

Held at 1.00% (previous 1.00%). Economists expected: hold at 1.00%, so the decision was as expected.

How did USD/JPY react to the BoJ decision in July 2026?

On one-minute candles: the hour before ranged 43 pips; the first spike went above it by 1.7 pips; a five-minute candle closed back inside after 5 minutes; after one hour USD/JPY was −16 pips from its pre-announcement price.

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