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BoJ Interest Rate Decision, July 2025

The Bank of Japan held the short-term policy interest rate at 0.50% on July 31, 2025, as expected.

Decision0.50%■ hold
Against expectedAs expectedexpected 0.50%
Previous0.50%short-term policy interest rate
USD/JPY one hour later −26 pips from the last price before
The result

What the BoJ decided in July 2025

The move Hold Held at 0.50%.
Against expected No surprise Economists expected: hold at 0.50%. The decision was as expected.
Timing 11:57 AM Tokyo Thursday, July 31, 2025; press conference at 3:30 PM Tokyo.
What price did

USD/JPY after the BoJ decision, minute by minute

One-minute candles, Tokyo time. The box is the hour before the announcement. How we measure.

USD/JPY one-minute chart around the Bank of Japan decision of Jul 31, 2025 The hour before the 11:57 announcement ranged 24 pips. The first spike went below it by 22 pips, and a five-minute candle closed back inside after 15 minutes. 148.6 148.7 148.8 148.9 149.0 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 THE HOUR BEFORE BoJ 11:57 Spike 148.585 · 22 pips past the hour's low Closed back inside · 15 min
  1. The hour beforeUSD/JPY ranged 24 pips, from 148.801 to 149.042, and was at 148.982 at the announcement.
  2. The first spike After 1 minute price went through the hour's low and ran 22 pips past it.
  3. The close back A five-minute candle closed back inside the range after 15 minutes.
  4. The other side Price then traded through the opposite edge of the range within four hours.
  5. The moves From the last price before the announcement: −16 pips at 15 minutes, −26 pips at one hour, −20 pips at four hours.
For context

Across 14 measured BoJ decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 11 (79%), and in 6 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 3 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 28 pips.

This decision is one of the closed-back cases. Counts include the decisions where it did not close back. All BoJ dates · BoJ overview.

← Previous decisionBoJ, June 2025Held at 0.50% Next decision →BoJ, September 2025Fri, Sep 19, 12:47 PM Tokyo
Questions

BoJ July 2025 decision: questions

What time was the BoJ interest rate decision on Jul 31, 2025?

It was announced at 11:57 AM Tokyo (10:57 PM EDT New York, 3:57 AM London London), with the press conference at 3:30 PM Tokyo.

What did the BoJ decide in July 2025?

Held at 0.50% (previous 0.50%). Economists expected: hold at 0.50%, so the decision was as expected.

How did USD/JPY react to the BoJ decision in July 2025?

On one-minute candles: the hour before ranged 24 pips; the first spike went below it by 22 pips; a five-minute candle closed back inside after 15 minutes; after one hour USD/JPY was −26 pips from its pre-announcement price.

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