InterestRateDecision ECB in 14h 57m
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ECB Interest Rate Decision, July 2025

The European Central Bank held the deposit facility rate at 2.00% on July 24, 2025, as expected.

Decision2.00%■ hold
Against expectedAs expectedexpected 2.00%
Previous2.00%deposit facility rate
EUR/USD one hour later +4.6 pips from the last price before
The result

What the ECB decided in July 2025

The move Hold Held at 2.00%.
Against expected No surprise Economists expected: hold at 2.00%. The decision was as expected.
Main refinancing rate 2.15% The ECB's other policy rate, set above the deposit facility rate.
Timing 2:15 PM Frankfurt Thursday, July 24, 2025; press conference at 2:45 PM Frankfurt.
What price did

EUR/USD after the ECB decision, minute by minute

One-minute candles, Frankfurt time. The box is the hour before the announcement. How we measure.

EUR/USD one-minute chart around the European Central Bank decision of Jul 24, 2025 The hour before the 14:15 announcement ranged 13 pips. The first spike went below it by 15 pips, and a five-minute candle closed back inside after 55 minutes. 1.174 1.176 1.178 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 THE HOUR BEFORE ECB 14:15 PRESS CONF. Spike 1.17303 · 15 pips past the hour's low Closed back inside · 55 min
  1. The hour beforeEUR/USD ranged 13 pips, from 1.17454 to 1.17584, and was at 1.17526 at the announcement.
  2. The first spike After 16 minutes price went through the hour's low and ran 15 pips past it.
  3. The close back A five-minute candle closed back inside the range after 55 minutes.
  4. The other side Price then traded through the opposite edge of the range within four hours.
  5. The moves From the last price before the announcement: −4.5 pips at 15 minutes, +4.6 pips at one hour, +13 pips at four hours.
For context

Across 14 measured ECB decisions since January 2025, the first spike closed back inside the hour-before range within 60 minutes in 10 (71%), and in 6 of those price then took the other side within four hours. In the other 4 the first move held. Median move in the first 15 minutes: 15 pips.

This decision is one of the closed-back cases. Counts include the decisions where it did not close back. All ECB dates · ECB overview.

Questions

ECB July 2025 decision: questions

What time was the ECB interest rate decision on Jul 24, 2025?

It was announced at 2:15 PM Frankfurt (8:15 AM EDT New York, 1:15 PM London London), with the press conference at 2:45 PM Frankfurt.

What did the ECB decide in July 2025?

Held at 2.00% (previous 2.00%). Economists expected: hold at 2.00%, so the decision was as expected.

How did EUR/USD react to the ECB decision in July 2025?

On one-minute candles: the hour before ranged 13 pips; the first spike went below it by 15 pips; a five-minute candle closed back inside after 55 minutes; after one hour EUR/USD was +4.6 pips from its pre-announcement price.

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